Talk:A Study in the Dubious Meiho-sou/@comment-32856683-20190518182721

Okay, since the game seems to be taking the stance that all 5 theories are equally valid (and therefore probably wrong), all bets are off. Also they took a step back from Ramesses' reasoning that Salazar is Oka, now that he's toast.

Therefore, here is my unbriddled reasoning from before I let myself throw off by the deductions of the Servants. Come on, cut down my blue truth with your sword of red if you dare:

[blue] Cortes faked his death and did the funeral invitations to lure General Tan out of hiding. Unbeknownst to him, the prince and his aide joined the party in order to steal his blackmail stuff. And then there is Oka, who is also hidden among the guests to reunite with his sister. The sister is Gabriele [ /blue] Oka in the prologue hinted at her being reliant on him for food, while Elis is stated to have been a famous singer from age 10 and Adriana has been giving not enough background to have anything seeded, Gabriele is all but assured to be Oka's sister.

From there on, the whole story hinges on who is disguised as whom, given that we have Tan, Oka and Cortes being hiding among Salazar, Isidoro, Antonio and Roma.

We know Salazar is probably some kind of assassin under Cortes' orders while Isidoro was also hired by him. From his conversation with Elis it is strongly hinted that Antonio is not who he claims he is and Roma also behaves rather strangely in his quest to find Oka (but since he had to ask Elis whether she is Oka's sister, I think it is fair to assume he is not Oka himself).

My blue truth is the following: [blue] Antonio is Oka, Isidoro is Cortes and Roma is General Tan. Salazar is just an Assassin hired by Cortes. When the guests arrived, Cortes recognized Oka and realized that he's there for his sister and probably going to kill him, so he had to act quickly and attempted to poison him. Notice that Salazar said "Ladies first" at a table where the only man was Antonio. No matter who he is, he was the initial target until Gabriele intervened and took the poison herself (probably because she too recognized her brother and sacrificed herself to foil Cortes' plan). [/blue]