Talk:Salomon Chapter Release/@comment-24469728-20181205210112/@comment-35070784-20181207052329

A good try, but not good enough. You forgot that 30 SQ rolls increase your chances. Though we don't know how exactly it works, it's almost certain that the omitted choices for a pull are added proportionally to the remaining choices. That means the guaranteed 4* card pull gives you a 5% chance for a SSR Servant, 15% chance for a SR Servant, 20% chance for a SSR CE and 60% chance for a SR CE. By the same logic the guaranteed Servant pull gives you ~2,5% for a SSR, ~7,5% for a SR and 90% for a 3* Servant. If you include this to your calculations, a 30 SQ pull gives you 10,22% chance of getting at least one Merlin, which is a lot more than the 6,78% that you have with 10 ticket or single SQ rolls.