Talk:Fate/EXTRA CCC Collaboration Event/@comment-26948189-20170427013134/@comment-28209103-20170427181250

As I said I'm not math savvy, which is why I can only understand the calculation based on your conclusion that is we need 500 rolls attempt to get an almost 98% chance for the next one to be an SSR. It doesn't stick with me even bout the E luck part cuz at rate of 1% I can only think that you'll most likely get SSR within 100 rolls.

I understand the calculation but I simply does not understand the principle, especially about the part where you started to multiply the failure chance and using it to determine the next success rate. As a layman what I usually do is holding to the belief that each probability are independent as such the 500th roll attempt will still give you 1% chance of getting SSR.

I see, learned(or maybe re-learned) something new today.. the link was informative, I think i get the rough idea now still doesn't really sticks on me tho, as a practical person myself I never thought that far, all i could gather for now is that your statistic talks bout probabilisty spread. Honestly I never even entertain the thought that someone could fail to get an SSR within 100 rolls.

As such I stand corrected, math are never my point of interest so thank you for the clarification