Talk:Cries of The Vengeful Demon in the Prison Tower Event Re-Run/@comment-4967984-20170121221722/@comment-30924224-20170122061542

Yeah, even assuming the rate of getting a 5* is really 50%, it doesn't mean you'll definitely get it with two YOLO rolls, that's not how probability works. It's a different case altogether when the game itself stated that you are guaranteed to get at least one SSR within exactly two YOLO rolls, in which case it's really 50%.

This game also showcased it to me sometimes, a normal attack, the first command card with 10% critical chance, the second one with 40%, and the third one with 50% chance. The only attack with Critical Damage is the first one, even though "logic" dictates that the second and third one got a much higher chance so if the first attack got it, the two others should too.

And for comparison, during the first week of January, my friend bought a Quartz account (With 907 Quartz and 40 Tickets) after buying a new phone and forgetting to bind his previous one. He wasted all those Quartzs and Tickets during New Years Gacha, and he got Musashi, Gilgamesh, Scatach, Shiki Saber, King Hassan, Gilbaba, Marie, and literally every single 4* Berserker except Fran

In the end probability is just that, a probability. Something with a higher chance to happen doesn't necessarily mean it will.